The overall RATING is a synthesis of the three different SCORE-BASED methods, PREDICTOR(PURE_POINTS), GOLDEN_MEAN,Īnd RECENT and thus should be a good predictor in its own right. More pronounced the longer a season goes if a given team happens to have an upward or downward trend. The RECENT, is score-based and weights RECENT play more heavily than earlier games. GOLDEN_MEAN also utilizes the actual SCORES of the games in a different way but is also completely SCORE BASEDĪnd thus should be a good match for the PURE POINTS in terms of predictive accuracy for upcoming games. PREDICTOR is also known as PURE_POINTS, BALLANTINE, RHEINGOLD, WHITE OWLĪnd is a very good PREDICTOR of future games. The PREDICTOR, is such that the score is the only thing that matters. Teams that appear to be tied to two decimal places in a given column are actuallyĭifferent when carried to more decimal places in the computer's internal arithmetic. Rating's CURRENT top 25 and CURRENT top 50 respectively. Schedule - (in parentheses) - and its record versus teams in these The numbers to the right of a team's schedule strength are its rank of Several different home edges are shown, one for each of the several different type of ratings The home edge will vary during the season. In the example just above, a home edge of 4 was shown for NOTE: Use whatever home advantage is listed in the output below. Or a VISITING team with a rating of 24 would be favored by 7 points Thus, for example, a HOME team with a rating of 27 would beįavored by 5 points over a VISITING team having a rating of 25. The teams in question and allow an ADDITIONAL 3 points for the home
Or a VISITING team with a rating of 89 would be favored by 7 points
Thus, for example, a HOME team with a rating of 92 would beįavored by 6 points over a VISITING team having a rating of 90. The teams in question and allow an ADDITIONAL 4 points for the home To make predictions for upcoming games, simply compare the RATINGS of Is the same concept that is used in computing the WIN50% conference ratings. Into account the rating of the opponent and the location of the game. The schedule difficulty of each given game takes Of their games against the schedule played by the team in question in the games Hypothetical team to have a mathematical expectation of winning precisely 50% The SCHEDULE ratings represent what the rating would have to be for a RATINGS, WON-LOSS records, and SCHEDULE strengths are based SOLELY This output has three parts: (1) teams listed by RATING top-to-bottom All Rights Reserved.įinal COLLEGE BASKETBALL 2021-2022 through results of 2022 APRIL 4 MONDAY - NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP USA Today - Jeff Sagarin MLS Soccer ratings ]Īll Contents Copyright © 2022 Jeff Sagarin tm. USA Today - Jeff Sagarin NASCAR ratings ]
USA Today - Jeff Sagarin College Basketball ratings ] USA Today - Jeff Sagarin College Football ratings ] USA Today - Jeff Sagarin MLB Baseball ratings ] USA Today - Jeff Sagarin computer ratings ] Jeff Sagarin's tm College Basketball Ratings - Indiana: Bring Back Dane Fife! Note: clock runs for 30 seconds it may skip
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